The approach of software developers is changing significantly, very quickly and the long term effects of this change are yet to be measured. An increasing number of coders will no longer work without AI-enabled tools; they consider the ability to use systems like GitHub Copilot, Cursor, and ChatGPT as a baseline requirement rather than a bonus that adds to their productivity level. The conversion of AI from a "nice to have" or optional tool to a non-negotiable prerequisite, occurred in a relatively short time period, and the risks that come with this shift warrant an honest evaluation of their long-term impact.
There is no doubt that AI coding tools help increase the productivity of developers who utilize them: when working with AI, developers can complete some tasks significantly quicker, generate boilerplate code in less time, obtain more assistance while debugging, and feel more confident when working with an unfamiliar codebase. The increase in measurable output is large enough that many developers feel these tools are indispensable, and as a result, there is a competitive advantage, for companies that utilize these types of tools have a greater advantage over those companies that do not. But beneath those productivity gains lies a dependency that could carry hidden costs. Programming is a problem-solving discipline. To be successful, you must understand how a system operates, what can potentially go wrong, and how to analyze it based on first principals in the absence of standard methods for resolving issues. Gaining a deep understanding of a system occurs through the trials of solving difficult problems and learning from the mistakes made while doing so. Ultimately, you learn to develop intuition for solving problems as a result of these experiences.
As Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools assume an increasing proportion of the programming work accomplished by developers providing developers with less exposure to the basic problem-solving experience (the basic problems of writing code) it is possible for developers to write functional code while not learning to understand the inner workings of the code as completely as if they were developing code without the assistance of AI tools. As more and more code is written for developers by AI tools, this will lead to a disconnect between a developer's ability to resolve issues with code that they developed without the assistance of AI tools, leading to a developer/AI tool divide. The potential for failure occurs when there is a large gap between the output and the understanding of that output, which will present itself when an error is discovered in a developer's system that is not easily diagnosed or repaired, as the developer may not fully understand what went wrong; subsequently, they cannot identify the source of the problem through diagnosis.
An organization's inability to conduct business without artificial intelligence (AI) can lead to both organizational fragility and dependency. Development teams are able to build workflows that depend upon AI; such that if one or more of these AI tools fail for any reason (e.g., it was deprecated, had significant changes made to it, or produced inaccurate results in situations deemed critical), and there are humans involved in the process, the humans must have the ability to either identify these failures or be able to adjust those failures. That requires exactly the kind of deep competence that AI dependency can quietly erode.
None of this argues against using AI coding tools. The productivity benefits are genuine and the competitive reality is that development teams cannot ignore them. But the developers and organizations navigating this transition most wisely are those who use AI as an accelerator of real skill rather than a replacement for developing it.